Will Karolína Muchová win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?

Resolved

No, settled Jan 25, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$37.6K

Resolved

Settled

Jan 25, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 25 Jan 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.1%. Yes opened at 2.5% on 3 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 23 daily closes on record from 3 Jan 2026 to 25 Jan 2026, the highest close was 2.7% on 10 Jan 2026 and the lowest 0.9% on 25 Jan 2026. $37.61K traded over the market's life.

33 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jan 26, 8:21 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 23 points, 3 Jan 2026 – 25 Jan 2026, chart shows 0%–10%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
3 Jan 2026	2.5%
25 Jan 2026	0.9%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	87.74K
wokerjoesleeper	Yes	10.23K
products	Yes	3.84K
rated	Yes	3.32K

10 of 33 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

The 2026 Australian Open is set to take place from January 12 - February 1, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Australian Open Women’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Australian Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 Australian Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Australian Open (https://ausopen.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.