Will Karolína Muchová be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?

Resolved

No, settled Jul 11, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$500.6K

Resolved

Settled

Jul 11, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 11 Jul 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 44.3%. Yes opened at 18.5% on 3 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 186 daily closes on record from 3 Jan 2026 to 11 Jul 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 55.8% on 11 Jul 2026 and the lowest 0.6% on 8 Apr 2026. Its largest one-day move was 24 points up, to 52.3% on 10 Jul 2026. $500.57K traded over the market's life.

163 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jul 12, 8:56 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 186 points, 3 Jan 2026 – 11 Jul 2026

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
3 Jan 2026	18.5%
11 Jul 2026	55.8%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	101.24K
Jan777	Yes	22.14K
switzerpredictor	Yes	12.54K

Rules

How this market was settled

Wimbledon 2026 is scheduled for June 29 - July 12, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Wimbledon (https://www.wimbledon.com/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.