Analytics
Resolved No on 1 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.6%. Yes opened at 37% on 6 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 37 daily closes on record from 6 Mar 2026 to 1 May 2026 (20 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 50.5% on 25 Mar 2026 and the lowest 0.4% on 1 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 26 points down, to 25% on 26 Mar 2026. $6.38K traded over the market's life.
21 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 1, 7:45 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 37 points, 6 Mar 2026 – 1 May 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Mar 2026 | 37.0% |
| 1 May 2026 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| elienmosk | Yes | 551.76 |
| Swift Comet D6AB | Yes | 122.94 |
| cloud98 | Yes | 90.91 |
| llbb | Yes | 80 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any song by the listed artist is in the #1 spot on the Spotify Top 50 - Global chart for any day of the relevant month, ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only primary artist profiles will qualify; features or collaborations under another artist profile will not qualify to resolve the featured artist to "Yes". The resolution source for this market will be Spotify, specifically the Spotify Top 50 - Global chart, which can be found here: https://open.spotify.com/playlist/37i9dQZEVXbMDoHDwVN2tF.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-artists-will-have-1-hits-in-april
| solenaige | Yes | 76.83 |
| Indigo Tide 215D | Yes | 67.14 |
| ra5tadark | Yes | 53.86 |
| boomboompowell | Yes | 50 |
| PPMT | Yes | 26.1 |
| Mealy-Tuba | Yes | 25.32 |
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