Will Kanye release BULLY by January 30?

Resolved

No, settled Jan 31, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$128.2K

Resolved

Settled

Jan 31, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 31 Jan 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.6%. Yes opened at 50% on 27 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 27 Jan 2026 to 31 Jan 2026, the highest close was 50% on 27 Jan 2026 and the lowest 0.3% on 30 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 44 points down, to 1.8% on 29 Jan 2026. $128.17K traded over the market's life.

77 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Mar 9, 10:54 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 27 Jan 2026 – 31 Jan 2026

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
27 Jan 2026	50.0%
31 Jan 2026	0.4%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Dionsauruz	Yes	1.18K
Menacing-Domain	Yes	1.11K
126btc	Yes	615.19
Emerald Pioneer D14A	Yes	570

10 of 77 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

Ye (Kanye West) set a release date of January 30, 2026 for his new album, BULLY (See: https://open.spotify.com/prerelease/4xFs0x8abwU3H9uNRPFRmE). This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ye officially releases BULLY by January 30, 2026, 11:59 PM PT. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Officially released means that BULLY is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Any Kanye West/Ye album officially confirmed to be the “BULLY” project will count, regardless of potential name changes. The resolution source for this market will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.