Analytics
Yes is at 40%, down 10 points from 50% when the market opened on 3 Sep 2026.
Across the 51 daily closes on record from 3 Sep 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (8 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 60% on 21 Oct 2026 and the lowest 18.5% on 12 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 60%; a month before, 30%. Its largest one-day move was 25 points down, to 27.5% on 10 Sep 2026.
It is one of 16 markets under “Pro Football: Team to advance to AFC Championship Game”.
$1.35K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $1.78K, with a 2.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 72 trades, $177.34 bought Yes and $302.68 bought No.
The largest Yes position is anciano with 107 shares; the largest No position is Slow-Exhibit with 160.
Trading closes on 26 Jan 2027, 89 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 1:55 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 51 points, 3 Sep 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Sep 2026 | 50.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 40.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Slow-Exhibit | No | 160 |
| anciano | Yes | 106.5 |
| Grafschokola2 | Yes | 80 |
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the AFC Championship Game of the 2027 NFL Playoffs. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to advance to the AFC Championship Game of the 2027 NFL Playoffs (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2027 NFL Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or the AFC Championship Game matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL (https://www.nfl.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/pro-football-team-to-advance-to-afc-championship-game
4 more markets, none above 2.5%.
| ZhouCD |
| No |
| 75.65 |
| Garmonbozia | Yes | 67.5 |
| xtxpleasecallme | No | 29.83 |
| lolzzzlol | Yes | 22.36 |
| ABC12345654321 | No | 9.49 |
| Needy-Accountability | No | 5.19 |
| gfdgfvfvssdd | Yes | 3.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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