Analytics
Resolved No on 12 Aug 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 41% on 6 Jun 2023. Before it settled, across the 68 daily closes on record from 6 Jun 2023 to 12 Aug 2023, the highest close was 48.5% on 9 Jun 2023 and the lowest 0.5% on 9 Aug 2023. Its largest one-day move was 17 points down, to 24% on 13 Jun 2023. $22.36K traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 12, 3:32 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 68 points, 6 Jun 2023 – 12 Aug 2023
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Jun 2023 | 41.0% |
| 12 Aug 2023 | 0.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| niklas | Yes | 91.17 |
| Indigo Voyager E113 | No | 73.83 |
| Biodegradable-Function | No | 2.87 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a market on whether Harry Kane will sign for Real Madrid in the Summer transfer window, which closes on September 1, 2023. This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that Kane has signed for Real Madrid during the transfer window. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will also resolve to “No” if it is announced that Kane has signed a contract extension with Tottenham Hotspur, or signs for a club other than Real Madrid during the described transfer window. If a club announces that Kane has signed with them but later retracts that announcement, this market will resolve according to the initial announcement. This market's resolution source will be official, credible announcements from either Tottenham Hotspur or the signing club.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-kane-sign-for-real-madrid
| Yes |
| 0.02 |
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