Analytics
Resolved Yes on 12 Aug 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 98.4%. Yes opened at 35.5% on 8 Jul 2023. Before it settled, the high was 98.4% on 12 Aug 2023 and the low 35% on 8 Aug 2023. Its largest one-day move was 43 points up, to 96% on 11 Aug 2023. $42.63K traded over the market's life.
11 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 13, 12:44 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 36 points, 8 Jul 2023 – 12 Aug 2023
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Jul 2023 | 35.5% |
| 12 Aug 2023 | 98.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| furi | No | 964.74 |
| leoleoleoleo | No | 543.89 |
| hubert-718 | Yes | 23.21 |
| Keen Ledger 60D6 | No | 19.92 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This is a market on whether Harry Kane will sign for Bayern Munich in the Summer transfer window, which closes on September 1, 2023. This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that Kane has signed for Bayern Munich during the transfer window. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will also resolve to “No” if it is announced that Kane has signed a contract extension with Tottenham Hotspur, or signs for a club other than Bayern Munich during the described transfer window. If a club announces that Kane has signed with them but later retracts that announcement, this market will resolve according to the initial announcement. This market's resolution source will be official, credible announcements from either Tottenham Hotspur or the signing club.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-kane-sign-for-bayern-munich
| Coral Ledger 242A | Yes | 15 |
| Cobalt Atlas 4770 | Yes | 15 |
| Emerald Pulse 5251 | Yes | 15 |
| Amber Raven A9D0 | No | 15 |
| Lunar Horizon D277 | No | 15 |
| Keen Harbor 76C4 | No | 15 |
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