Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Sep 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.1%. Yes opened at 33% on 6 Aug 2024. Before it settled, across the 27 daily closes on record from 6 Aug 2024 to 1 Sep 2024, the highest close was 33% on 6 Aug 2024 and the lowest 1.6% on 31 Aug 2024. Its largest one-day move was 13 points down, to 20% on 7 Aug 2024. $40.98K traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 2, 8:23 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 27 points, 6 Aug 2024 – 1 Sep 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Aug 2024 | 33.0% |
| 1 Sep 2024 | 1.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| bugsnaxTruther | Yes | 142.86 |
| JohnLawrence | Yes | 27.78 |
| GGeazy | Yes | 5 |
| RadLilDude | Yes | 5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kamala Harris publicly mentions the word "Jew" between August 5, 6:30 PM ET and August 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market (e.g. "Jewish" will NOT count). A ‘mention’ includes the following: -A verbal usage of the word "Jew" which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. -Any written usage of the word "Jew" published through Kamala's social media or other official communication channels regardless of capitalization (@KamalaHarris and @VP, would qualify however @KamalaHQ will not count). Videos posted on her social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-kamala-say-in-august
| FreeDurov | Yes | 1.8 |
| Grisnatch | Yes | 0.01 |
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