Analytics
Resolved No on 11 Oct 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 58%. Yes opened at 22.5% on 10 Oct 2024. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 10 Oct 2024 to 11 Oct 2024, the highest close was 42% on 11 Oct 2024 and the lowest 22.5% on 10 Oct 2024. Its largest one-day move was 19 points up, to 42% on 11 Oct 2024. $18.42K traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 12, 4:26 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 10 Oct 2024 – 11 Oct 2024, chart shows 10%–50%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Oct 2024 | 22.5% |
| 11 Oct 2024 | 42.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Kamala Harris has scheduled a town hall hosted by Univision on October 10 (see: https://x.com/UniNoticias/status/1842686955944902833). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Harris says "hola" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "hola" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the Spanish word for "hello." If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond October 10, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the event.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-kamala-say-during-univision-town-hall
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