Analytics
Resolved Yes on 30 Sep 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 76%. Yes opened at 88.5% on 27 Sep 2024. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 27 Sep 2024 to 30 Sep 2024, the highest close was 88.5% on 27 Sep 2024 and the lowest 76% on 30 Sep 2024. Its largest one-day move was 8.5 points down, to 79.5% on 29 Sep 2024. $26.86K traded over the market's life.
Polymarket record as of Oct 1, 4:36 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 27 Sep 2024 – 30 Sep 2024, chart shows 70%–95%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Sep 2024 | 88.5% |
| 30 Sep 2024 | 76.0% |
Polymarket lists no holders for this market.
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Kamala Harris has scheduled to give a speech on September 29 in Las Vegas, Nevada (see: https://www.mobilize.us/2024nvvictory/event/706397/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Harris says "first-time homebuyer" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond September 29, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the speech.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-kamala-say-during-nevada-speech
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