
Resolved Yes on 7 Nov 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.9%. Yes opened at 92.5% on 6 Nov 2024. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 6 Nov 2024 to 7 Nov 2024, the highest close was 99.9% on 7 Nov 2024 and the lowest 92.5% on 6 Nov 2024. Its largest one-day move was 7.4 points up, to 99.9% on 7 Nov 2024. $12.07K traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 8, 12:39 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 6 Nov 2024 – 7 Nov 2024, chart shows 90%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Nov 2024 | 92.5% |
| 7 Nov 2024 | 99.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| QQQ111 | No | 488.28 |
| KKolio | No | 166.67 |
| Silver Scout ACDA | No | 0.1 |
| wohabapi | Yes | 0.05 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the first speech given by Kamala Harris after the Associated Press (AP) has declared a winner for the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election. If the AP declares a winner while Kamala Harris has already begun delivering a speech, the entirety of the speech will be considered for this market including terms mentioned prior to the AP’s announcement. A speech is defined as any statement delivered on camera which is three minutes (180 seconds) or greater in length. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Harris says "Doug", "Dougy", or "Douglas" during their speech. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "Doug", "Dougy", or "Douglas" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the person Douglas Emhoff. If the AP does not declare a winner by November 30, 2024 ET, or Kamala Harris does not give a speech between the AP declaring a winner and November 30, 2024 ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source will be the video of the speech.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-kamala-say-in-speech-after-election-is-called
| MaAAA | No | 0.02 |
| Yandi | Yes | 0.01 |
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