- What is the “Will Kamala Harris win all 6 swing states?” market asking?
- It asks whether the following will happen: Will Kamala Harris win all 6 swing states? Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
- What do the Yes and No prices mean?
- At the last observation Yes traded at 0.0¢ and No at 100.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 0.0% for Yes and 100.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
- When does this market close?
- Trading is scheduled to close on Nov 5, 2024. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.
- How does this market resolve?
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kamala Harris wins every swing state in the 2024 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market considers the following states as "swing states": Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. If all three sources haven’t called the race in the listed states for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
- What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?
- 24h volume ($4.85M) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.
- Who holds the biggest positions in this market?
