Analytics
Resolved Yes on 21 Sep 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 100%. Yes opened at 91.5% on 17 Sep 2024. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 17 Sep 2024 to 21 Sep 2024, the highest close was 100% on 21 Sep 2024 and the lowest 91.5% on 17 Sep 2024. Its largest one-day move was 5.5 points up, to 100% on 21 Sep 2024. $90.22K traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 22, 12:10 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 17 Sep 2024 – 21 Sep 2024, chart shows 85%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Sep 2024 | 91.5% |
| 21 Sep 2024 | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| g... | No | 5.68K |
| IThoughtItWasAFart | Yes | 1.06 |
| nagatoshi01 | No | 0.83 |
| Bennettaw | Yes | 0.09 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Kamala Harris has scheduled a rally to be held on September 20 in Madison, Wisconsin. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Harris says "Project 2025" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the phrase regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the phrase will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond September 20, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the speech.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-kamala-say-during-wisconsin-rally
| umanuma | No | 0.03 |
| dogenjoyer | Yes | 0.01 |
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