Analytics
Resolved Yes on 23 Aug 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 91.5%. Yes opened at 52% on 22 Aug 2024. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 22 Aug 2024 to 23 Aug 2024, the highest close was 91.5% on 23 Aug 2024 and the lowest 52% on 22 Aug 2024. Its largest one-day move was 40 points up, to 91.5% on 23 Aug 2024. $93.16K traded over the market's life.
5 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 24, 3:46 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 22 Aug 2024 – 23 Aug 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Aug 2024 | 52.0% |
| 23 Aug 2024 | 91.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| CJ82 | No | 285.71 |
| Pepperonii | No | 238.1 |
| fsx45 | No | 0.06 |
| 0xabcd | Yes | 0.02 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kamala Harris says "Oakland" during her DNC keynote speech. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If Kamala Harris does not give a keynote speech at the DNC this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "Oakland" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the city on the east side of San Francisco Bay, in California. The resolution source will be the video of the speech.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-kamala-say-during-acceptance-speech
| Avogadro | Yes | 0.02 |
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