What is the “Will Kamala Harris concede by Friday?” market asking?
It asks whether the following will happen: Will Kamala Harris concede by Friday? Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
What do the Yes and No prices mean?
At the last observation Yes traded at 100.0¢ and No at 0.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 100.0% for Yes and 0.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
When does this market close?
Trading is scheduled to close on Nov 8, 2024. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.
How does this market resolve?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kamala Harris concedes in the 2024 US presidential election by November 8, 2024, 11:59:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No". A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement which acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2024 US presidential election, will not be the next President, or which acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged, or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession. Any public statement from this candidate…
What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?
24h volume ($187.88K) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.
$75.07K
Yes sell at 99.9%
History rangePolymarket CLOB price history · 1440 min sampling · latest observation Nov 8, 12:00 AM
Vultax loaded 12 public holder wallets for this market; the largest ten hold 99.9% of the loaded shares. The Holders view lists them by size on each side, and every wallet links to its trader profile.
Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?
Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated Nov 9, 1:03 AM) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.
Can I trade this market on Vultax?
No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/will-kamala-harris-concede-by-friday) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.