Analytics
Resolved No on 5 Oct 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 39.5% on 27 Sep 2024. Before it settled, across the 9 daily closes on record from 27 Sep 2024 to 5 Oct 2024, the highest close was 39.5% on 27 Sep 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 5 Oct 2024. Its largest one-day move was 22 points down, to 18% on 28 Sep 2024. $20.83K traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 6, 12:26 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 9 points, 27 Sep 2024 – 5 Oct 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Sep 2024 | 39.5% |
| 5 Oct 2024 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Oscartior | Yes | 2K |
| Hamurabi | No | 0.08 |
| ciagesligi1973 | No | 0.04 |
| CryptoBecu | No | 0.02 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kamala Harris publicly states that Eric Adams should resign from the office of Mayor of New York City by October 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A clear statement from Harris calling Adams to resign (e.g. "it would be in the best interest the city for Adams to move on") will qualify even if she does not explicitly use the words "resign" or "step down". Statements that are ambiguous, hedged, or imply he should resign without explicitly calling for resignation (e.g. “Mayor Adams should consider stepping aside,” “We need to evaluate the leadership in New York City") will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be statements from Kamala Harris or one of her official representatives.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-kamala-harris-call-on-eric-adams-to-resign-by-next-friday
| chirone | No | 0.02 |
| scrimple | No | 0.01 |
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