Analytics
Paper trading
Resolved No on 9 Aug 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 79.5% on 18 Jan 2024. Before it settled, the high was 92.5% on 3 May 2024 and the low 0.1% on 9 Aug 2024. Its largest one-day move was 35 points down, to 12.5% on 19 Jul 2024. $1.4M traded over the market's life.
49 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 10, 12:07 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 205 points, 18 Jan 2024 – 9 Aug 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Jan 2024 | 79.5% |
| 9 Aug 2024 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| chinkdoit | Yes | 666 |
| Sharp-Heritage | Yes | 557.41 |
| mike388 | Yes | 100 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kamala Harris is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/ Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-kamala-harris-be-the-democratic-vp-nominee
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| macwood | Yes | 100 |
| 000000000000000 | Yes | 49.16 |
| ThiKat | Yes | 40.54 |
| VVV1984 | Yes | 21.27 |
| sta | No | 20.83 |
| OverThere | No | 13.54 |
| pashenka | Yes | 10 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard