Analytics
Resolved No on 11 Dec 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99%. Yes opened at 22% on 10 Dec 2024. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 10 Dec 2024 to 11 Dec 2024, the highest close was 22% on 10 Dec 2024 and the lowest 1.1% on 11 Dec 2024. Its largest one-day move was 21 points down, to 1.1% on 11 Dec 2024. $49.84K traded over the market's life.
11 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 12, 9:09 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 10 Dec 2024 – 11 Dec 2024, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Dec 2024 | 22.0% |
| 11 Dec 2024 | 1.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a market group over what terms will appear in the Brian Thompson shooter's manifesto if it is released by Friday.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/brian-thompson-perp-manifesto-mentions
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| SamWise406 | Yes | 4 |
| 3r3rsdfs | No | 0.1 |
| ycxbsdidj | No | 0.04 |
| Serty | No | 0.03 |
| Haradwaith | No | 0.02 |
| Bronz | Yes | 0.01 |
