Analytics
Yes is at 11%, down 40 points from 51% when the market opened on 13 May 2026.
Across the 164 daily closes on record from 13 May 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (5 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 59% on 23 May 2026 and the lowest 10.5% on 27 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 11%; a month before, 10.5%. Its largest one-day move was 36 points up, to 54.5% on 27 May 2026.
It is one of 5 markets under “Which flavors will JUUL relaunch in 2026?”.
$93.6 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $24.93, with a 16.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is xtxpleasecallme with 51 shares; the largest No position is shiifoo with 65.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 29, 12:12 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 164 points, 13 May 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 May 2026 | 51.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 11.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| shiifoo | No | 65.16 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 50.89 |
| niglette | Yes | 6.12 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if JUUL commercially relaunches the specified flavor in the United States between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A relaunch is defined as JUUL making the specified flavor commercially available for purchase by consumers in the United States, whether through retail, direct-to-consumer, or other distribution channels. A limited release, test market, or sampling program will not constitute a relaunch. A flavor will be considered to be the same as the specified flavor as long as the listed flavor name is entirely included in the released flavor’s name (e.g. if Juul launches “Cool Cucumber”, the option for “Cucumber” would resolve to “Yes”). Minor differences in capitalization, punctuation, or accenting will not affect this market’s resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Juul; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Note: This market resolves based on commercial availability in the United States only. International relaunches will not be considered for resolution purposes.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-flavors-will-juul-relaunch-in-2026
| Exemplary-Decisionmaking |
| Yes |
| 5 |
| Solar Ledger 05AA | No | 5 |
| PolyKetCat | Yes | 5 |
| Mojito9 | Yes | 3.16 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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