Analytics
Resolved No on 13 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 59.5%. Yes opened at 40.5% on 27 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 27 Mar 2026 to 9 Apr 2026 (9 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 40.5% on 27 Mar 2026 and the lowest 20.5% on 28 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 20 points down, to 20.5% on 28 Mar 2026. $1.65K traded over the market's life.
9 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 14, 1:45 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 27 Mar 2026 – 9 Apr 2026, chart shows 10%–50%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Mar 2026 | 40.5% |
| 9 Apr 2026 | 40.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| mokmghost | Yes | 171.21 |
| Wee-Grain | Yes | 72.74 |
| Utter-Downgrade | Yes | 15 |
| winstonhwd | Yes | 10 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Justin Bieber is scheduled to perform at Coachella on April 11 and April 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the first song played by Justin Bieber at Coachella. To qualify as "played" a Justin Bieber must sing at least some of the lyrics of a specified song during this event. If this event is cancelled or otherwise delayed beyond April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be footage of the 2026 Coachella Valley Music and Arts Festival, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-song-will-justin-bieber-play-first-at-coachella
New to prediction markets?
| ComunidadePMbrasil | No | 10 |
| bjprolo | Yes | 5 |
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 5 |
| Sleepy-Cactus | Yes | 5 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 5 |
