Will June 2024 have a temperature increase of less than 1.09°C?

Resolved

No, settled Jul 10, 2024 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$72.5K

Resolved

Settled

Jul 10, 2024 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 10 Jul 2024.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 8.5% on 13 Jun 2024. Before it settled, across the 28 daily closes on record from 13 Jun 2024 to 10 Jul 2024, the highest close was 8.5% on 13 Jun 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 10 Jul 2024. $72.48K traded over the market's life.

8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jul 11, 8:40 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 28 points, 13 Jun 2024 – 10 Jul 2024, chart shows 0%–15%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
13 Jun 2024	8.5%
10 Jul 2024	0.1%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	50.13K
geeke	Yes	333.33
HearseLLM	No	118.2
Sneeds	Yes	40

8 of 8 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules