Analytics
Resolved Yes on 12 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 51.5%. Yes opened at 72% on 12 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 31 daily closes on record from 12 Jun 2026 to 12 Jul 2026, the highest close was 85.5% on 28 Jun 2026 and the lowest 26.5% on 7 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 32 points down, to 50% on 18 Jun 2026. $4.65K traded over the market's life.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 13, 4:10 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 31 points, 12 Jun 2026 – 12 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Jun 2026 | 72.0% |
| 12 Jul 2026 | 51.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of goals Julian Alvarez scores during the 2026 FIFA World Cup equals or exceeds the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only goals scored during regular time, stoppage time, or extra time count. Only goals credited on FIFA's official scoresheet will count. Penalty shootout goals do not count. Own goals do not count toward the final total. If Julian Alvarez does not play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup for any reason, this market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many goals Julian Alvarez scored within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50". The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/world-cup-julian-alvarez-goals-20260611150351743
| cottonwithsky | No | 77 |
| GuyFromTinder | No | 50 |
| .Menthe | No | 50 |
| ChukuleTerak | No | 11.24 |
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