Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Apr 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.1%. Yes opened at 11% on 28 Feb 2025. Before it settled, across the 33 daily closes on record from 28 Feb 2025 to 1 Apr 2025, the highest close was 20.8% on 14 Mar 2025 and the lowest 0.4% on 19 Mar 2025. Its largest one-day move was 12 points up, to 14% on 13 Mar 2025. $10.29K traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 30, 8:37 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 33 points, 28 Feb 2025 – 1 Apr 2025, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Feb 2025 | 11.0% |
| 1 Apr 2025 | 0.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| PolyDump | Yes | 50.99 |
| mido45 | Yes | 45.45 |
| hushengkui | Yes | 3.33 |
| Poly24 | No | 0.07 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jude Bellingham and Ashlyn Castro end their romantic relationship by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Confirmation can come in various forms, including, but not limited to, social media posts, interviews, press releases, official statements, or a consensus of credible reporting. This market will resolve to "No" otherwise. If it is unclear whether or not they are in a romantic relationship, this market will resolve to the side with the stronger argument based on credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-jude-bellingham-break-up-with-his-gf-before-april-2025
New to prediction markets?
| low.iq.games | No | 0.02 |
| BigSmolE | No | 0.01 |
