Analytics
Resolved No on 12 Dec 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 45.5% on 5 Dec 2024. Before it settled, across the 8 daily closes on record from 5 Dec 2024 to 12 Dec 2024, the highest close was 45.5% on 5 Dec 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 12 Dec 2024. Its largest one-day move was 37 points down, to 0.2% on 10 Dec 2024. $38.59K traded over the market's life.
15 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 13, 1:49 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 5 Dec 2024 – 12 Dec 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Dec 2024 | 45.5% |
| 12 Dec 2024 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 18.29K |
| arguments44 | Yes | 536.5 |
| Masonwood | Yes | 190.3 |
| yokikik | Yes | 117.78 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a market on which team Juan Soto will play for next in Major League Baseball.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/juan-soto-next-team
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| arod12 | Yes | 114.34 |
| 0xer888 | Yes | 86.51 |
| Smooth-Blowgun | Yes | 21.82 |
| Twizzler | Yes | 20 |
| rmiller55555 | Yes | 11.71 |
| PolyDump | Yes | 10 |
