Analytics
Resolved No on 7 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.6%. Yes opened at 28.5% on 10 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 21 daily closes on record from 10 Mar 2026 to 2 Apr 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 28.5% on 10 Mar 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 31 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 16 points down, to 12.5% on 11 Mar 2026. $51.56K traded over the market's life.
26 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 7, 6:21 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 21 points, 10 Mar 2026 – 2 Apr 2026, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Mar 2026 | 28.5% |
| 2 Apr 2026 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.13K |
| Zetherka | Yes | 761.08 |
| Indigo Tide 215D | Yes | 714 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 Outstanding Player of the Tournament award at the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NCAA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ncaa-tournament-most-outstanding-player
| Yes |
| 500 |
| JohnSmith10 | Yes | 333.33 |
| pd.unique | Yes | 325 |
| Intentional-Fresco | Yes | 310.27 |
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 300 |
| labistiiia | Yes | 250 |
| norealtime | Yes | 250 |
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