Will Josh Green be the Hawaii Democratic nominee for Governor?

politicsResolved

Yes, settled Aug 9, 2026 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$6.9K

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Aug 9, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved Yes on 9 Aug 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.6%. Yes opened at 93.5% on 16 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 24 daily closes on record from 16 Jul 2026 to 9 Aug 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 99.6% on 9 Aug 2026 and the lowest 90.9% on 23 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 6.5 points up, to 97.4% on 24 Jul 2026. $6.89K traded over the market's life.

14 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:08 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 24 points, 16 Jul 2026 – 9 Aug 2026, chart shows 85%–100%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
16 Jul 2026	93.5%
9 Aug 2026	99.6%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	441.4
GuyFromTinder	No	194.21
Oklmntrader	No	107.99

10 of 14 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the election for Governor of Hawaii in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.