
Resolved No on 22 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 24% on 7 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 16 daily closes on record from 7 Feb 2026 to 22 Feb 2026, the highest close was 24% on 7 Feb 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 20 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 20 points down, to 4.5% on 8 Feb 2026. $8.56K traded over the market's life.
22 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 22, 7:39 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 16 points, 7 Feb 2026 – 22 Feb 2026, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Feb 2026 | 24.0% |
| 22 Feb 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 10.48K |
| CoIumbia | Yes | 3K |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 453 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 296 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the single athlete who records the most medals at the 2026 Milano-Cortina Winter Olympics. If two or more athletes record the same number of medals, this market will resolve to the athlete who has recorded more gold medals. If two or more athletes are tied for the same number of medals, and also have the same number of gold medals, this market will resolve to the athlete who has recorded more silver medals. If two or more athletes are tied for the same number of medals, have the same number of each gold and silver medals, this market will resolve to the athlete whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. This market will resolve based on the official medal table as it stands after medals are awarded for the final event of the 2026 Milano-Cortina Winter Olympics. Subsequent disqualifications, reallocations, or other changes to medal counts will not be considered. If the 2026 Milano-Cortina Winter Olympics are partially completed and then cancelled or postponed after March 8, 2026 ET, this market will resolve based on medals awarded in completed events. If the 2026 Milano-Cortina Winter Olympics are entirely cancelled or postponed after March 8, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Olympic Committee (https://www.olympics.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/winter-games-2026-athlete-to-win-the-most-medals
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 218 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 200 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 195 |
| Daro86 | Yes | 175.78 |
| bjprolo | Yes | 100 |
| TheFinalPercent | Yes | 100 |
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