Analytics
Resolved No on 27 Jul 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 34.5% on 8 Jun 2025. Before it settled, across the 50 daily closes on record from 8 Jun 2025 to 27 Jul 2025, the highest close was 62% on 6 Jul 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 24 Jul 2025. Its largest one-day move was 38 points down, to 10.5% on 12 Jul 2025. $3.37K traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 28, 12:42 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 50 points, 8 Jun 2025 – 27 Jul 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Jun 2025 | 34.5% |
| 27 Jul 2025 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Infinite-Controller | Yes | 225.97 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 36.63 |
| Realdealpt | Yes | 33.9 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Joao Almeida finishes in the top five at the Tour de France 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the Tour de France 2025 is permanently canceled or has not been completed by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Tour de France official website (https://www.letour.fr/en/).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/tour-de-france-2025-top-5-finish
| Yes |
| 16.39 |
| Ihvfe | Yes | 1.72 |
| Overcut-FS | Yes | 1.23 |
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