Analytics
Resolved No on 7 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 84.7%. Yes opened at 40% on 13 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 18 daily closes on record from 13 Mar 2026 to 2 Apr 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 40% on 13 Mar 2026 and the lowest 6.3% on 17 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 23 points down, to 17.5% on 14 Mar 2026. $5.56K traded over the market's life.
20 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 8, 9:04 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 18 points, 13 Mar 2026 – 2 Apr 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Mar 2026 | 40.0% |
| 2 Apr 2026 | 15.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.99K |
| Unusual-Industry | Yes | 1.42K |
| 0xRocket666 | Yes | 200 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Jon Rothstein (@JonRothstein) mentions "This is March" in a tweet posted on X between March 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and April 7, 2026, 2:00 AM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts, and reposts will count. Only posts live at the listed time will count toward the final tally. Deleted posts or posts that were reposted and later un-reposted will NOT count. Text posted in images, memes, video, or any attachments will not qualify towards the final count. Any plural or possessive forms of the listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count. Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: Th1s, for "this") will disqualify it from counting toward the final count. Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: marchhh or mar., for ‘March’), will not count towards the final count, regardless of context or intent. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. marchmadness mentions are not a compound word for "march"). Instances where both the quote and the quoted post contain the relevant phrase will qualify as one mention. (e.g., if John quotes a post which contains "This is March" with his own text containing "This is March", it will qualify as one mention.) If the relevant data is unavailable by April 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The resolution source for this market will be Jon Rothstein’s verified X account: @JonRothstein. Please note, only the @JonRothstein verified X account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Jon Rothstein posts from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ncaa-tournament-number-of-rothstein-this-is-march-tweets-166
| Yes |
| 102.18 |
| Neon Lynx 497D | Yes | 90.89 |
| Amber Maven EAA6 | Yes | 90.21 |
| weatherlover21 | Yes | 37.37 |
| human.bean | Yes | 31.4 |
| BAWANGMAO | Yes | 20 |
| Utter-Downgrade | Yes | 15 |
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