Analytics
Resolved No on 3 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 50% on 1 Feb 2024. Before it settled, the high was 50% on 1 Feb 2024 and the low 0.1% on 28 Dec 2024. Its largest one-day move was 40 points down, to 10% on 2 Feb 2024. $27.35M traded over the market's life.
667 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 4, 8:08 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 338 points · 1 Feb 2024 – 3 Jan 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Feb 2024 | 50.0% |
| 3 Jan 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.68M |
| chico | Yes | 21.61K |
| MatrixMember | Yes | 12.79K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2024/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses shows 'Joker: Folie à Deux' (2024) as the film with the highest 2024 gross once data for December 31 is made available. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2024 - dates outside of 2024 will not count toward this movie's gross. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by January 7, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/highest-grossing-movie-in-2024
| Crimson Vector 2B75 | Yes | 11K |
| Loyal-Comma | Yes | 10K |
| Unsteady-Ant | Yes | 6.12K |
| Extra-Large-Stench | Yes | 6K |
| Elderly-Fitness | Yes | 5.65K |
| Clueless-Tablet | Yes | 5.25K |
| GAVERA | Yes | 4K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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