
Resolved No on 23 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 10.2%. Yes opened at 65% on 18 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 6 daily closes on record from 18 Feb 2026 to 23 Feb 2026, the highest close was 89.8% on 23 Feb 2026 and the lowest 65% on 18 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 17 points up, to 89.8% on 23 Feb 2026. $5.68K traded over the market's life.
9 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 25, 12:28 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 18 Feb 2026 – 23 Feb 2026, chart shows 60%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Feb 2026 | 65.0% |
| 23 Feb 2026 | 89.8% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
John Oliver is scheduled to host Last Week Tonight on Sunday, February 22, 2026 at 11PM ET: https://www.youtube.com/@LastWeekTonight This market will resolve to "Yes" if John Oliver says the listed term at any point during the initial broadcast of this episode. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If clips of old episodes or prerecorded videos are aired where John Oliver is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution. Commercials which are not part of the show itself will not qualify toward this market's resolution. Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). AI-generated audio or video will not count towards the resolution of this market. Censored instances of a given term that cannot be heard in full will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If this appearance is definitively cancelled by John Oliver or HBO, or otherwise is not released by February 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio/video of the appearance.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-john-oliver-say-during-last-week-tonight-on-february-22
| Quiet Voyager A460 | Yes | 20.14 |
| v7H | Yes | 20 |
| hesure | Yes | 20 |
| vger7 | Yes | 19.99 |
| Ivory Beacon D832 | Yes | 0.42 |
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