Analytics
Resolved No on 20 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 0.3% on 14 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 68 daily closes on record from 14 May 2026 to 20 Jul 2026, the price held at 0.4%. $218.94K traded over the market's life.
86 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 20, 2:47 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 68 points, 14 May 2026 – 20 Jul 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 May 2026 | 0.3% |
| 20 Jul 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 368.69K |
| alwayslatetotheparty | Yes | 66.99K |
| FxnEdge | Yes | 31.08K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/next-uk-prime-minister-in-2026-122
New to prediction markets?
| Yes |
| 25.35K |
| RaymondVan | Yes | 16.64K |
| balthazar | Yes | 13.32K |
| puipui2486 | Yes | 7.99K |
| Abcdefghijklmnopp | Yes | 7.77K |
| pd.unique | Yes | 5.04K |
| e46m3 | Yes | 4.39K |
