Analytics
Resolved No on 17 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.6%. Yes opened at 2.8% on 16 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 16 May 2026 to 17 May 2026, the highest close was 2.8% on 16 May 2026 and the lowest 1.5% on 17 May 2026. $21.87K traded over the market's life.
19 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 18, 2:26 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 16 May 2026 – 17 May 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 May 2026 | 2.8% |
| 17 May 2026 | 1.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Melody626 | Yes | 10.05K |
| flawfence | Yes | 3K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.66K |
| vee17 | Yes | 200 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
The Louisiana Republican Senate Primary is currently scheduled to be held on May 16, 2026, with a runoff on June 27 if no candidate wins a majority in the primary. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If no 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Louisiana Republican Party; however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/louisiana-republican-senate-primary-first-round-winner
| TENETENET | Yes | 100 |
| .Menthe | Yes | 50 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 50 |
| GABUS | Yes | 25 |
| retzuiooo | Yes | 21.74 |
| rvw | Yes | 20 |
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