Analytics
Resolved Yes on 5 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 96.9%. Yes opened at 48% on 7 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 29 daily closes on record from 7 Jul 2026 to 5 Aug 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 96.9% on 5 Aug 2026 and the lowest 48% on 7 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 13 points down, to 66% on 22 Jul 2026. $1.35K traded over the market's life.
7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 6, 3:36 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 29 points, 7 Jul 2026 – 5 Aug 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Jul 2026 | 48.0% |
| 5 Aug 2026 | 96.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
The non-partisan primary election for the WA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 WA-04 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-04 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/wa-04-primary-winners-20260706195013828
| No |
| 15 |
| hesure | No | 10 |
| rocketcrypto | No | 5 |
| flexer78 | Yes | 0.01 |
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