
Resolved No on 11 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 10% on 2 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 73 daily closes on record from 2 Dec 2025 to 11 Feb 2026, the highest close was 10% on 2 Dec 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 7 Feb 2026. $5.57K traded over the market's life.
19 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 11, 8:19 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 73 points, 2 Dec 2025 – 11 Feb 2026, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Dec 2025 | 10.0% |
| 11 Feb 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 7.43K |
| paspor | Yes | 776.83 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 301 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 special election, scheduled for April 16, 2026. The Democratic primary will take place on February 5, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nj-11-special-election-democratic-primary-winner
| Yes |
| 244 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 227 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 164 |
| flow-trader-at-optiver | Yes | 100.96 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 86 |
| wokerjoesleeper | Yes | 71.8 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 53.53 |
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