Will Johannes Kaiser win less than 7% of votes in the first round?

Resolved

No, settled Nov 18, 2025 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$57.5K

Resolved

Settled

Nov 18, 2025 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 18 Nov 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.6%. Yes opened at 49% on 6 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 13 daily closes on record from 6 Nov 2025 to 18 Nov 2025, the highest close was 49% on 6 Nov 2025 and the lowest 0.4% on 11 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 48 points down, to 0.7% on 7 Nov 2025. $57.47K traded over the market's life.

21 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Nov 19, 8:31 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 13 points, 6 Nov 2025 – 18 Nov 2025

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
6 Nov 2025	49.0%
18 Nov 2025	0.4%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	6.48K
Bright Horizon 81D6	Yes	662.44
tailevent	Yes	480
Blizzage	Yes	325

10 of 21 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Chile on November 16, 2025. This market will resolve according to the vote share Johannes Kaiser wins in the first round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official. This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of votes won by Johannes Kaiser, not any coalition of which he may be a part. If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2025 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Chilean Government, specifically the Chilean Electoral Service (Servicio Electoral de Chile, Servel) (https://www.servel.cl/).