Analytics
Resolved Yes on 4 Jul 2026.
$2.44K traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 5, 5:13 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 1 point, 4 Jul 2026, chart shows 90%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Jul 2026 | 96.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.05K |
| RiskyyLemon | No | 1K |
| .Menthe | No | 50 |
| Mojito9 | No | 0.3 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed participant finishes first in the final result of the 2026 Nathan’s Famous Hot Dog Eating Contest. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve to the participant officially recognized by Major League Eating as finishing in first place. If multiple participants are officially awarded first place, the market will resolve to the participant whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed participant to finish first in the 2026 Nathan’s Famous Hot Dog Eating Contest, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 Nathan’s Famous Hot Dog Eating Contest is cancelled, postponed after July 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no first place participant declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Eating. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nathans-hot-dog-eating-contest-2026-winnermens-20260703193757787
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