Will Joey Chestnut eat 70+ Hot Dogs?

Resolved

Yes, settled Jul 4, 2025 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$244.3K

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Jul 4, 2025 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved Yes on 4 Jul 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 63%. Yes opened at 63% on 20 Jun 2025. Before it settled, across the 15 daily closes on record from 20 Jun 2025 to 4 Jul 2025, the highest close was 76% on 21 Jun 2025 and the lowest 57% on 26 Jun 2025. Its largest one-day move was 13 points up, to 76% on 21 Jun 2025. $244.28K traded over the market's life.

45 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jul 6, 12:25 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 15 points, 20 Jun 2025 – 4 Jul 2025, chart shows 50%–80%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
20 Jun 2025	63.0%
4 Jul 2025	63.0%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Keen Scout CC05	No	1K
Solar Falcon A6A9	No	1K
Azure Maven BD85	No	1K
Quiet Harbor 76C1	No	995

10 of 45 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This is a market on the amount of hot dogs that Joey Chestnut will eat at the 2025 Nathan's Famous Hot Dog Eating Contest, scheduled for July 4, 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Joey Chestnut eats more than 69.5 hot dogs at the Nathans Famous Hot Dog Eating Contest. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the 2025 Nathan's Famous Hot Dog Eating Contest is cancelled, postponed past July 4, or Joey Chestnut otherwise doesn't participate in the contest, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official results from Major League Eating (https://majorleagueeating.com), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.