Analytics
Resolved Yes on 4 Jul 2026.
$9K traded over the market's life.
7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 5, 5:47 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 1 point, 4 Jul 2026, chart shows 86%–98%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Jul 2026 | 91.7% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| lamar4mvp | Yes | 2.28K |
| RiskyyLemon | No | 500 |
| TGBTries | No | 50 |
| .Menthe | No | 50 |
| PPMT | No | 30 |
| triklozoid | No | 15 |
| takethat | No | 0.02 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total number Hot Dogs Joey Chestnut Eats during the 2026 Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest equals or exceeds the listed number. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No” If the 2026 Nathan’s Famous Hot Dog Eating Contest is cancelled, postponed after July 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or Joey Chestnut's results cannot be determined, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Eating. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nathans-hot-dog-eating-contest-joey-chestnut-hot-dogs-eaten-20260703205451881
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