Analytics
Resolved No on 5 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.9%. Yes opened at 50% on 2 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 2 Jul 2026 to 5 Jul 2026, the highest close was 50% on 2 Jul 2026 and the lowest 1.1% on 5 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 36 points down, to 2.9% on 4 Jul 2026. $660.5 traded over the market's life.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 6, 3:04 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 2 Jul 2026 – 5 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Jul 2026 | 50.0% |
| 5 Jul 2026 | 1.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
The 2026 Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest is scheduled for July 4, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if listed individual attends the 2026 Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest is canceled or postponed beyond July 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Attending the event is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the event. This market may not resolve to "No" until the 2026 Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest has concluded. The primary resolution source will be the official communication channels of the 2026 Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest and/or participating teams; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-attend-the-2026-nathans-hot-dog-eating-contest-20260701191947557
| heipp15 | Yes | 50 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 15 |
| hesure | Yes | 10 |
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 5 |
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