Analytics
Resolved No on 2 Aug 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 45% on 4 Jun 2024. Before it settled, across the 60 daily closes on record from 4 Jun 2024 to 2 Aug 2024, the highest close was 45% on 4 Jun 2024 and the lowest 0.3% on 2 Aug 2024. Its largest one-day move was 11 points down, to 34% on 5 Jun 2024. $49.91K traded over the market's life.
1 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 3, 5:37 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 60 points, 4 Jun 2024 – 2 Aug 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Jun 2024 | 45.0% |
| 2 Aug 2024 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| FDGSGDHGF | Yes | 0.03 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Joe Manchin announces that he is running for governor of West Virginia in the 2024 election by August 1, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Joe Manchin announces that he will not run for governor of West Virginia in this election, or that he will run for another position, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Joe Manchin and/or his official representative(s), however a consensus of credible data will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-joe-manchin-run-for-west-virginia-governor
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