Analytics
Resolved No on 5 Nov 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 68% on 17 Sep 2024. Before it settled, the high was 79% on 19 Sep 2024 and the low 0.3% on 1 Nov 2024. Its largest one-day move was 57 points down, to 7.5% on 25 Sep 2024. $33.45K traded over the market's life.
12 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 6, 5:13 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 50 points · 17 Sep 2024 – 5 Nov 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Sep 2024 | 68.0% |
| 5 Nov 2024 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| cpane | Yes | 1.24K |
| Guido | Yes | 570.68 |
| Athenenoctua | Yes | 90.91 |
| Sac70 | Yes | 12.66 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Senator Joe Manchin announces that he will vote for Kamala Harris or endorses Harris for President of the United States by November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". If Joe Manchin announces that he will vote for another candidate or endorses another candidate for President of the United States this market will immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Joe Manchin or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Manchin's endorsement.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-joe-manchin-endorse-kamala
New to prediction markets?
| BuckyDynamite | No | 6.45 |
| Katead | Yes | 0.35 |
| ExhaustedBoyBilly | No | 0.09 |
| Axios | Yes | 0.08 |
| 652211 | Yes | 0.05 |
| anciano | No | 0.02 |
