Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Aug 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.6%. Yes opened at 31.5% on 22 Jul 2024. Before it settled, across the 11 daily closes on record from 22 Jul 2024 to 1 Aug 2024, the highest close was 31.5% on 22 Jul 2024 and the lowest 0.4% on 1 Aug 2024. Its largest one-day move was 30 points down, to 1.4% on 23 Jul 2024. $114.78K traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 2, 5:13 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 11 points, 22 Jul 2024 – 1 Aug 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Jul 2024 | 31.5% |
| 1 Aug 2024 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| godlike-902 | Yes | 50 |
| Badgirl-961 | No | 0.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Joe Manchin announces he's running for the Democratic Nomination for the 2024 US Presidential race by July 31, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-joe-manchin-announce-run-for-democratic-nominee
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