Analytics
Resolved No on 17 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 44% on 27 Feb 2026. Before it settled, the high was 44% on 27 Feb 2026 and the low 0.2% on 15 Apr 2026. Its largest one-day move was 35 points down, to 9.5% on 28 Feb 2026. $8.4K traded over the market's life.
13 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 18, 1:57 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 44 points, 27 Feb 2026 – 16 Apr 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Feb 2026 | 44.0% |
| 16 Apr 2026 | 0.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 2.29K |
| 5-min | Yes | 199.96 |
| bjprolo | Yes | 100 |
| cry.eth2 | Yes | 34.76 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 special election for the seat for New Jersey's 11th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives. The special election is scheduled to take place April 16, 2026. This market includes any potential runoff election or second round. If no winner is announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.nj.gov/state/.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nj-11-special-election-winner
| Utter-Downgrade | Yes | 15 |
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 5 |
| Hinshaw | Yes | 5 |
| rikitikitaki | Yes | 5 |
| ra5tadark | Yes | 0.32 |
| 10gukjgjhgh | Yes | 0.02 |
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