Analytics
Resolved No on 8 Nov 2025.
$1.78K traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 9, 8:32 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 1 point, 8 Nov 2025, chart shows 30%–45%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Nov 2025 | 38.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Livid-Framework | Yes | 450 |
| PDG | Yes | 403.05 |
| Enraged-Inhibitor | Yes | 20 |
| briar2682 | Yes | 5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Former president Joe Biden is scheduled to appear at the Ben Nelson Gala in Omaha on November 7, 2025, at 9 PM ET. You can read more about that here: https://www.ketv.com/article/omaha-president-joe-biden-ben-nelson-gala/69279471 This market will resolve to "Yes" if Joe Biden says the listed term during his appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Biden is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution. Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this appearance is definitively cancelled by Joe Biden or the Ben Nelson Gala, or otherwise is not released by November 8, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If the appearance has not aired in its entirety by November 8, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on what has aired up to that point. The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution. Transcripts will not count.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-joe-biden-say-during-the-ben-nelson-gala-on-november-7
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