- What is the “Will Joe Biden make an appearance by September 22?” market asking?
- It asks whether the following will happen: Will Joe Biden make an appearance by September 22? Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
- What do the Yes and No prices mean?
- At the last observation Yes traded at 100.0¢ and No at 0.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 100.0% for Yes and 0.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
- When does this market close?
- Trading is scheduled to close on Sep 22, 2025. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.
- How does this market resolve?
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if Joe Biden makes a new public or digital appearance between September 15, 1:00 PM ET, and September 22, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A public appearance includes, for example, an appearance at a press conference. A digital appearance must be verified as new, authentic footage (not AI-generated). For instance, if Biden appears in a new prerecorded speech, this market will resolve to "Yes". Biden must be awake for this market to resolve to "Yes". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
- What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?
- 24h volume ($8.51K) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.
