Analytics
Resolved No on 3 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 3 Sep 2025. Before it settled, the high was 50% on 5 Oct 2025 and the low 0.1% on 23 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 39 points down, to 8% on 3 Nov 2025. $10.74K traded over the market's life.
27 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 4, 8:35 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 92 points · 3 Sep 2025 – 3 Dec 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Sep 2025 | 49.5% |
| 3 Dec 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 241.72K |
| wokerjoesleeper | Yes | 13.63K |
| Right-Whole | Yes | 3K |
| Phony-Cormorant | Yes | 2K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate wins the 2025 special election for Tennessee's 7th Congressional District to replace former Representative Mark Green. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In the event of a runoff, this market's resolution will be based on the runoff's outcome. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Tennessee; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/tennessee-house-special-election
| Blaorra | Yes | 1.7K |
| Mitherandir | Yes | 1K |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 975.98 |
| Kanp | Yes | 670 |
| Cookedtan | Yes | 666.47 |
| itsjustcheddar | Yes | 610 |
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