Analytics
Resolved No on 16 Apr 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 31.5% on 27 Mar 2025. Before it settled, the high was 42.5% on 2 Apr 2025 and the low 0.1% on 3 Apr 2025. Its largest one-day move was 42 points down, to 0.1% on 3 Apr 2025. $137.37K traded over the market's life.
26 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 17, 12:30 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 21 points · 27 Mar 2025 – 16 Apr 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Mar 2025 | 31.5% |
| 16 Apr 2025 | 0.3% |
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 42.56K |
| Cobalt Pulse D61A | Yes | 1.1K |
| 5DbsWTJ8w7Dr | Yes | 655.99 |
| tianjinn | Yes | 555 |
| Bright Orbit 2DC9 | Yes | 500 |
| Bright Beacon 5C41 | Yes | 470 |
| Golden Kestrel 8189 | Yes | 445 |
| Jade Lynx 2C99 | Yes | 430 |
| Indigo Ledger 8C10 | Yes | 395 |
| Misty Maven E3F2 | Yes | 315 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
A special election for Florida's 1st Congressional District is scheduled to take place on April 1, 2025. This market will resolve according to the popular vote margin of victory for Republican Jimmy Patronis. For the purpose of resolving this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by Jimmy Patronis and the candidate that receives second-most votes. Percentages of the votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each of the two candidates receive by the sum of all votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If Jimmy Patronis does not win the most votes, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based off the official vote count once Florida has certified the vote for this race. If a recount is initiated before certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is certified. If a recount occurs after certification, the recount will not be considered.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/fl-1-special-election-jimmy-patronis-margin-of-victory
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