Analytics
Resolved No on 6 Feb 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 57.1%. Yes opened at 50% on 14 Dec 2024. Before it settled, across the 55 daily closes on record from 14 Dec 2024 to 6 Feb 2025, the highest close was 70.8% on 26 Jan 2025 and the lowest 3.4% on 3 Jan 2025. Its largest one-day move was 47 points up, to 63.9% on 23 Jan 2025. $23.37K traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 7, 1:55 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 55 points, 14 Dec 2024 – 6 Feb 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Dec 2024 | 50.0% |
| 6 Feb 2025 | 42.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 4.13K |
| Ehsonmychest | Yes | 769.04 |
| gandalf | Yes | 150 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a market on the likelihood of Jimmy Butler being traded from his current NBA team.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/jimmy-butler-trade
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Yes |
| 42.86 |
| arthurholmes | Yes | 33.23 |
| Stefanoa | Yes | 1.56 |
