Analytics
Resolved Yes on 6 Feb 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 50.5%. Yes opened at 51% on 13 Dec 2024. Before it settled, across the 56 daily closes on record from 13 Dec 2024 to 6 Feb 2025, the highest close was 89% on 29 Jan 2025 and the lowest 24.5% on 30 Dec 2024. Its largest one-day move was 30 points up, to 55.5% on 4 Jan 2025. $41.9K traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 7, 4:13 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 56 points, 13 Dec 2024 – 6 Feb 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Dec 2024 | 51.0% |
| 6 Feb 2025 | 50.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Quiet Kestrel 6780 | Yes | 2.7 |
| vveranddnis | Yes | 0.02 |
| antoshkavlasio | Yes | 0 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jimmy Butler of the Miami Heat is traded to another NBA team before the trade deadline for the 2024-2025 NBA season, currently scheduled for February 6, 2025 3:00 PM ET, goes into effect. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-jimmy-butler-get-traded
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